The Impact of Trump’s Policies on Xi and Putin’s Alliance and Regional Dynamics
As Trump’s foreign policy unfolds, it poses challenges to Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin’s close alliance. China’s ambitions for diplomatic power contrast with its military engagements, especially in the context of Taiwan. The US’s recent interactions with Russia could shift the dynamics, influencing China’s strategic calculations on the global stage.
As Trump alters the global landscape, Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin’s alliance faces scrutiny. Days prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Xi and Putin announced a “no-limits” partnership, emphasizing their strong bond. Despite numerous opportunities for Xi to retract support for Putin’s actions, their friendship has continued to strengthen, raising concerns in Washington about potential divides forming between Moscow and Beijing due to new US policies and Trump’s engagement with Russia.
Recent communication between Xi and Putin reaffirmed their commitment to their bilateral relations, regardless of external factors. Analysts speculate that an uninterested or self-serving US could empower China, particularly concerning Taiwan, where Xi might feel bolstered to act similarly to Putin’s claims about endurance in the face of Western opposition.
China aims to enhance its status as a global diplomatic force, showcased by its mediation efforts between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Beijing has also proposed peace initiatives in Ukraine but has only engaged minimally with Ukrainian leadership and is accused of supporting Russia militarily.
Further, the activity of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLA-N) off the coast of Australia, likely meant to assess international reactions to their military capacity, highlights China’s growing assertiveness. The maneuvering fits a pattern where China demonstrates its military advancements while gauging the Trump administration’s commitment to its alliances.
The implications for Taiwan are significant, particularly amidst the more aggressive stance from the US under Trump and its potential to reshape diplomatic relations. Changes in the US State Department’s wording regarding Taiwan have also caused tensions with Beijing, as Washington maintains its support for Taipei despite conflicting messages about independence.
Despite the contentious interactions between Trump and Zelenskyy regarding Ukraine, observers emphasize the need for Taiwan to position itself favorably to influence US perceptions, especially as defense commitments remain under the framework of strategic ambiguity. The need for Taiwan to demonstrate value to the US has never been more urgent, especially when considering its security and the growing threat from China.
In summary, Trump’s administration is reshaping the global order, potentially straining Xi and Putin’s partnership. China’s diplomatic ambitions juxtaposed with military assertiveness, particularly concerning Taiwan, reflect an evolving geopolitical landscape. The US’s newfound engagement with Russia amidst international tensions signals a broader strategy that may lead to significant implications for China and its allies moving forward.
Original Source: www.abc.net.au
