Libya: A Central Geopolitical Battleground for U.S. and Russian Influence
This article explores the ongoing geopolitical tension in Libya, where the U.S. and Russia vie for influence. The U.S. is attempting to persuade Gen. Khalifa Haftar to distance himself from Russia, which provides significant military support. Despite U.S. efforts, Russian troop presence in Libya is increasing, showcasing a persistent Cold War dynamic in the region.
In the realm of geopolitics, Libya stands as a focal point of tension between the U.S. and Russia. With the recent deployment of a USAF B-52 bomber, U.S. forces aim to persuade local military leaders, particularly Gen. Khalifa Haftar, to expel Russian troops that are entrenched in the country. Haftar’s collaboration with Russia poses a significant challenge to U.S. interests, as he utilizes Russian support for military operations in Northern Africa and beyond.
The meeting in February between Haftar and his sons with Belarus showcases a shift towards closer Russian ties, further complicating U.S. efforts. U.S. military officials, including those from Africa Command, conducted ground targeting exercises in an attempt to consolidate partnerships with Haftar’s forces and foster a potential split from Russian influence. However, analyst Jalel Harchaoui suggests that the Biden administration lacks a coherent strategy for effectively countering Haftar’s alliances with Russia.
Despite U.S. overtures, Haftar remains hesitant to sever ties with Russia, citing their provision of air defenses and military training. The increasing Russian presence in Libya, particularly at Brak al-Shati airbase, suggests a heightened commitment from Moscow, with troop numbers rising significantly since November. Ben Fishman warns that gestures like the B-52 flyovers are unlikely to persuade Haftar to shift allegiances, given the disparity between his operational force and the local militias.
On a more hopeful note, Mohammed Eljarh indicates that Haftar’s son, Saddam, is actively seeking to strengthen ties with the U.S., which could potentially alter the dynamics in Libya. Moreover, it has been observed that the Kremlin seems concerned about this relationship and is eager for more engagement with Saddam, although recent interactions with Moscow appear limited. Umberto Profazio echoes caution regarding U.S. response under the Trump administration, suggesting a possibility of tacit acceptance of Russian influence in Libya due to its unconventional approach to foreign affairs.
Libya remains a significant battleground for U.S. and Russian influence, with military and diplomatic maneuverings ongoing between both powers. The continued presence of Russian troops, coupled with strategic U.S. initiatives to engage local leaders, highlights the complex and evolving geopolitical landscape. The relationship between Haftar, his potential ties with the U.S., and Russia’s support will remain crucial in determining the future trajectory of Libya’s political stability and regional dynamics.
Original Source: www.defensenews.com
