The Evolving Landscape of Sudan’s Civil War
Sudan’s civil war is intensifying with significant military advances against the RSF, leading to control over Khartoum. Despite these gains, both factions remain unwilling to engage in peace talks, and the RSF’s establishment of a parallel government complicates the conflict landscape. Continued violence has resulted in high casualties and widespread displacement, indicating a deepening humanitarian crisis.
The conflict in Sudan is escalating towards a critical phase after nearly two years of hostilities resulting in tens of thousands killed and millions displaced. Recent military advances against the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) suggest a shift in control, particularly in the capital, Khartoum, including significant sites such as the Republican Palace. However, the RSF has yet to confirm any territorial losses.
The civil war ignited in April 2023 when the military and RSF clashed, following a fractured alliance meant to facilitate a democratic transition post-2019 uprising. This deterioration has led to over 28,000 fatalities, while displacing over 14 million and precipitating famine conditions in several regions.
Military achievements in Khartoum may signify a new phase of conflict, as divisions are likely to form within the military due to the diverse alliances established mainly to counter the RSF. Despite recent gains, military leader Gen. Abdel-Fattah Burhan shows no inclination for genuine peace discussions, while RSF leader Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo remains committed to continued combat.
The RSF’s recent move to establish a parallel government complicates the situation further. This initiative, solidified through a charter signed in Kenya, proposes a decentralized and democratic state, potentially leading to competing governance structures amid ongoing conflict. The RSF, a successor to the previously notorious Janjaweed militias, faces accusations of severe human rights violations, including genocide, which they deny. The military similarly faces allegations of abuses and refutes any wrongdoing.
The civil war in Sudan is likely shifting into a more complex phase, with ongoing violence and territorial disputes between the military and RSF. The establishment of parallel governance by the RSF adds to the conflict’s complexity, signaling a potential for a divided Sudan. As both parties show little interest in reconciliation, the humanitarian crisis may deepen, necessitating international attention and intervention.
Original Source: www.newsday.com
