Putin Protects Assad: Complications for Russian Military in Syria

British defense authorities claim that Putin’s sheltering of Assad undermines Russian military operations in Syria. Recent intelligence indicates a potential evacuation from Tartus port and weakened diplomatic leverage for Russia. Simultaneously, Western sanctions on Syria’s banking sector hinder economic recovery efforts, prompting calls for increased transparency in financial transactions.

British defense officials assert that Vladimir Putin’s decision to provide sanctuary to ousted Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad in Moscow is jeopardizing Russia’s negotiations to maintain its military presence in Syria. Reports indicate that Russia seems to be withdrawing forces from its crucial naval port in Tartus amidst the ongoing conflict in the country.

Recent intelligence updates from the UK Ministry of Defence revealed that on January 28 and 29, 2025, Russian merchant ships SPARTA II and SPARTA departed Tartus, likely transporting evacuated personnel and equipment to various basing locations away from the Mediterranean. These movements underscore a significant operational shift in Russia’s strategy in the region.

The ongoing discussions between Russian officials and Syria’s ruling entity, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), about the future of Russian military bases reflect an evolving diplomatic landscape. However, Russia’s bargaining power is diminished due to the Syrian government’s apparent aversion to Assad, whom Putin is currently sheltering.

While information from Britain, the U.S., and Ukraine concerning Russia’s activities should be approached cautiously, they are generally regarded as more credible than Russian propaganda. For years, Russia has supported Assad’s regime, including conducting airstrikes against opposition forces during the uprising that led to his downfall.

Western sanctions have crippled Syria’s banking sector and hindered investment opportunities, despite high demand from both domestic and international investors following Assad’s fall. Ayman Hamawiye, head of the Syrian Investment Agency, emphasized, “Sanctions have stopped everything. Right now, they are primarily on the Syrian people and are increasing their suffering.”

In January, the U.S. issued a six-month waiver pertaining to specific Syria sanctions, particularly in the energy sector and financial dealings involving the Syrian authorities. However, the primary sanctions protecting the central bank remain in effect, further isolating Syria from global financial systems.

The European Union has also proposed a strategy to potentially relax its extensive Syrian sanctions, which may include some adjustments to banking restrictions though particulars are still under discussion. Mr. Hamawiye expressed that the current measures taken regarding sanctions are inadequate and advocates for a regulated banking system to facilitate transparent transactions instead of reliance on informal networks.

In summary, Vladimir Putin’s offer of refuge to Bashar al-Assad has complicated Russia’s military strategy and diplomatic engagements in Syria. Ongoing sanctions against Syria’s banking sector drastically limit foreign investment opportunities, impacting the nation’s economic recovery. Negotiations to adapt sanctions are underway, yet current measures remain insufficient according to Syrian officials.

Original Source: www.standard.co.uk